European Journal of Cancer
○ Elsevier BV
Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match European Journal of Cancer's content profile, based on 11 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Lebmeier, A.; Lindner, T.; Karl, C.; Schöler, T.; Rank, A.
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Background: Immunochemotherapy (ICT) is considered standard in regards to care for small-cell lung cancer (SCLC) in extensive stages, yet reliable biomarkers for treatment response remain elusive. While previous univariate analyses suggest specific peripheral lymphocyte subsets correlate with survival, the systemic immune response involves complex, multivariate interactions that require advanced analytical approaches. Methods: This paper analysed high-dimensional flow cytometry data from 32 patients with stage IV SCLC treated with carboplatin, etoposide, and atezolizumab. Peripheral blood was analysed at baseline (V0) and longitudinally during treatment. To identify potential early predictive biomarkers and mitigate sample attrition in later cycles, we focused on baseline and measurements after two cycles of ICT (V1). We employed a rigorous machine learning framework utilising nested cross-validation, bootstrapping, and permutation-based statistical testing to evaluate eleven different regression and survival models. Results: Under model-appropriate metrics, regressors did not generalise (R2 <0); conversely, censoring-aware Random Survival Forests (RSF) successfully extracted robust prognostic signatures. Baseline immune profiles (V0) achieved a concordance index (C-index) of 0.66 (p= 0.015), while dynamic changes from V0 to V1 ({triangleup}V) achieved a C-index of 0.65 (p= 0.022). Crucially, absolute values measured after two cycles of ICT (V1) yielded no significant signal (p= 0.445). Feature importance analysis confirmed the prognostic value of Th17 normalisation and identified Naive Regulatory T cells and Memory B cells as candidate components. Conclusion: Machine learning validation confirms a predictive signal in the peripheral immune profile of SCLC patients. Early dynamic shifts in the balance between regulatory and effector immune arms are associated with prognosis, contrasting with the lack of signal in absolute counts after two cycles of ICT. These findings establish a proof of concept for multivariate liquid biopsy immune profiling, warranting confirmation in larger cohorts and highlighting the necessity of integrating systemic and tumour-intrinsic data.
Gao, Y.; Yu, S.; Xia, Y.; Chen, S.; Xia, S.; An, R.; Zeng, J.; Zhao, F.; Ma, Y.; Wang, Y.; Xie, X.; Zhang, J.
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Prognostic models in oncology are developed one cancer at a time, from that cancer's own labelled outcomes, and fail where prognostic information is scarcest. Rare cancers account for roughly a fifth of diagnoses and most paediatric malignancies, yet seldom supply enough events for a reliable time-to-event model. We therefore asked whether a representation learned without outcome labels can supply what those cohorts cannot. A Transformer encoder was pretrained by masked field-value modelling on 9425135 tumour records from the SEER 17 registries, diagnosed in 2000 to 2023. Only diagnosis-time fields passing a fail-closed coding-verification gate were admitted, and each record was emitted as an era-specific and a harmonised view, keeping two decades of recoding auditable. The encoder was then frozen and read by a linear Cox head for overall survival. Nine rare cancers were removed from the pretraining corpus entirely, each requiring an independent pretraining run. On a sealed test partition, all nine exceeded an architecture-identical random frozen encoder in Harrell concordance by +0.0034 to +0.0368, every lower confidence limit above zero. At 256 labelled patients, all 67 cancers favoured the pretrained representation over budget-matched Cox regression, median difference +0.0283. The advantage was bounded: given the entire training set, Cox regression was favoured in seven of nine rare cancers. The encoder did not outperform a field-frequency baseline on its own objective, so upstream reconstruction did not predict downstream transfer. Outcome-agnostic registry pretraining carries prognostic signal into cancers it has never seen, and is most useful where labels are fewest, without establishing clinical utility.
Han, F.; Wang, J.; Shi, S.; Jin, M.; Ren, C.
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IMPORTANCE: A recent meta-analysis showed that chemoimmunotherapy was associated with improved overall survival (OS) compared with immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) monotherapy for programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) tumor proportion score (TPS) [≥] 50% advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). However, whether this benefit reflects chemotherapy effect or ICI heterogeneity remains unclear. OBJECTIVE: To reassess the survival benefit of adding chemotherapy to ICI monotherapy using agent-stratified comparisons anchored to chemotherapy. DATA SOURCES: The 24 phase 3 randomized clinical trials included in the original meta-analysis (search date, August 3, 2025). DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Hazard ratios (HRs) for OS and progression-free survival (PFS) were extracted from each trial in the original meta-analysis. Two analytic frameworks were used: within-agent comparisons (same ICI in both chemoimmunotherapy and monotherapy) and across-agent comparisons (ICI in one treatment strategy only). For within-agent comparisons, a two-stage random-effects meta-analysis was conducted. In stage 1, ICI-specific HRs for chemoimmunotherapy and ICI monotherapy versus chemotherapy were pooled and their ratio was calculated (RHR = HRchemoimmuno/HRmono; RHR < 1 favors chemoimmunotherapy). The RHRs were pooled in stage 2. For across-agent comparisons, RHR was derived from pooled HRs by treatment strategy. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Endpoints were OS and PFS. RESULTS: In within-agent comparisons (4 ICIs; 13 trials; N = 3252), pooled RHR was 0.94 (95% CI, 0.78-1.13; P = .48; I2 = 0.0%) for OS and 0.85 (95% CI, 0.68-1.06; P = .14; I2 = 0.0%) for PFS. In across-agent comparisons (7 ICIs; 11 trials; N = 2231), RHR favored chemoimmunotherapy for OS (0.68; 95% CI, 0.50-0.92; P = .01) and PFS (0.46; 95% CI, 0.37-0.58; P < .001). In a sensitivity analysis restricted to trials of NCCN-recommended regimens, pooled RHR was 1.02 (95% CI, 0.81-1.28; P = .87) for OS. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In the within-agent comparisons, adding chemotherapy to ICI monotherapy did not improve OS or PFS in patients with PD-L1 TPS [≥] 50% advanced NSCLC. The benefit in the original meta-analysis appears driven by across-ICI heterogeneity. These findings are consistent with ICI monotherapy as a standard first-line option and underscore the need for agent-level stratification in across-trial comparisons.
Majumder, B. P.; Linak, J. A.; Adamson, R.; Aguilera, R. L.; Agarwal, D.; Reitz, Z.; Loiselle, S.; Devarakonda, S.; Clark, P.; Paulson, K. G.; Stanton, S.
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In large data sets discovery is often limited to pre-conceived hypotheses and data fishing. Here we tested whether systematic exploration of AI generated hypotheses could uncover clinically meaningful signals in extensively studied data. We deployed AutoDiscovery, a newly launched large language model (LLM) framework designed to search for hypotheses based on surprisal and systematically interrogate complex datasets, on The Cancer Genome Atlas breast cancer cohort. The system did not identify clinically meaningful novel findings without human input. However, a seeded warm-start run with minimal text input from an oncologist revealed multiple interesting and surprising hypotheses. Among these was that a robust immune signature was present across all subtypes of invasive lobular carcinoma (ILC) that exceeded invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC). This observation was independently validated in independent cohorts and confirmed by high-sensitivity multi-immunofluorescence tumor tissue analyses. These results suggest immunotherapy approaches should be tested in ILC including early stage ER+HER2- ILC; these patients are currently excluded from large neoadjuvant immunotherapy trials. They further demonstrate that surprisal-based hypothesis generation frameworks can extract previously unappreciated patterns from deeply interrogated cancer datasets and imply that disease domain experts working with LLMs can derive more meaningful insights from complex data than either could achieve alone.
Li, S.; Zhang, W.; Xing, X.; Shen, Z.; Wang, Y.; Chen, Z.; Neto, O.; Yu, Y.; Wu, C.; Lin, L.
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Background Late-stage cancer incidence is being considered as an earlier endpoint in cancer-screening trials, but its trial-level association with cancer-specific mortality may depend on evidence selection and endpoint harmonization. We evaluated the robustness of this association to source-verified additions. Methods We reconstructed the PubMed corpus underlying a 41-comparison review. Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview was used only to prioritize reports for blinded human reassessment. Reviewers determined eligibility, linked reports from the same trial, harmonized endpoints, and verified comparison-level data. We recalculated unweighted Pearson correlations overall and by cancer type after adding earliest-compatible trial comparisons. Results Among 1209 candidate records, 996 PDFs were assessed. Thirty-three reports absent from the source review were prioritized; 26 were eligible, representing 18 trials, and 8 provided compatible comparisons. Adding these comparisons increased the dataset from 41 to 49 and attenuated the overall correlation from 0.73 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.55 to 0.85) to 0.59 (95% CI = 0.37 to 0.75). Updated correlations were 0.49 (95% CI = -0.26 to 0.87) for breast, -0.23 (95% CI = -0.71 to 0.40) for colorectal, and 0.83 (95% CI = 0.54 to 0.95) for lung cancer. One sparse-event comparison influenced the colorectal estimate. Conclusions The overall association was sensitive to evidence composition, and cancer-specific stability varied. Late-stage incidence should be evaluated by cancer type and with prespecified sensitivity analyses for evidence selection and endpoint definitions. Model-assisted prioritization cannot replace human eligibility review, trial reconciliation, and source verification.
Shachar, E. K.; Haas, R.; Rodriguez, V. E.; Lester, J.; Siavoshi, M. A.; Kwan, L.; Niell-Swiller, M.; Spellman, P. T.; Boutros, P. C.; Chang, V. Y.; Karlan, B. Y.
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Importance: Chronic stress may contribute to adverse health outcomes through cumulative physiologic dysregulation. Allostatic load (AL), a composite measure of multisystem physiologic burden, may capture biologic effects of structural, social, and psychosocial stress not reflected by self-reported measures. Objective: To evaluate racial and ethnic differences in AL among women with familial cancer risk and examine how socioeconomic status, psychosocial factors, clinical characteristics, and health behaviors contribute to variations in AL. Design: Cross-sectional study of underrepresented minority participants enrolled in the HERSTORY cohort from October 2023 through September 2025, with comparison participants from the UCLA ATLAS biobank. Setting: UCLA academic health system. Participants: The study included 303 racially and ethnically diverse female HERSTORY participants aged [≥]35 years with a family history of cancer and matched non-Hispanic White female ATLAS participants (n=709). Exposures: Race and ethnicity, age, neighborhood deprivation, cancer history and stage, depression, perceived stress, cancer worry, and physical activity. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was AL, calculated from cardiometabolic and organ-function measures. A secondary index incorporated race- and ethnicity-specific neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) derived from 326,826 women in the UCLA Health population. Multivariable regression models evaluated factors associated with elevated AL. Results: Compared with matched non-Hispanic White participants, Black and Asian/Pacific Islander HERSTORY participants had significantly higher AL after adjustment. Hispanic/Latina participants did not have significantly elevated AL. Older age, greater area-level socioeconomic deprivation, and depression were independently associated with higher AL. Prior cancer diagnosis, cancer worry and perceived stress were not significantly associated with AL, whereas regular physical activity was associated with lower AL. Among cancer patients, advanced stage was associated with greater AL. Conclusions and Relevance: This study demonstrates elevated AL among understudied racial/ethnic minority groups with familial cancer risk and identifies associations with neighborhood deprivation, depression, and physical activity. The association between cancer stage and AL suggests that physiologic stress may reflect variation in cancer burden. The lack of association with perceived stress and cancer worry further indicates that physiologic and self-reported psychosocial measures capture distinct dimensions of stress. The development of race/ethnicity-specific NLR thresholds derived from large population samples provide a benchmark for future studies.
Gorobets, O.; Vinh-Hung, V.
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Background: Prostate cancer enzalutamide treatment is approved at a standard dose of 160 mg daily. Concerns for real-world patients -- older and more fragile than those enrolled in clinical trials -- have prompted consideration of initiating treatment with lower doses, but the long-term efficacy of this approach remains unknown. We evaluate the long-term survival and longevity in patients treated with standard versus upfront low-dose enzalutamide. Methods: Retrospective analysis of 151 patients treated with enzalutamide (102 receiving 160 mg; 49 receiving [≤]80 mg) between 2014--2021 at the Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Martinique, with complete follow-up through end of life (98.7% completeness of follow-up). Primary outcomes were overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and longevity (attained age). Results: Doses [≤]80 mg were associated with longer median OS (36.3 vs. 20.7 months), improved restricted mean OS (difference of 0.7 years, p=0.05), and enhanced longevity (median 82.5 vs. 78.3 years, p=0.004). PSA response rate at 12 weeks was higher with lower-dose (71.4% vs. 48.8%, p=0.016). In multivariable models adjusted for prognostic factors, [≤]40 mg compared with 160 mg was non-inferior regarding OS (HR=0.61, 95% CI 0.36--1.06), superior regarding PFS (HR=0.59, 95% CI 0.35--0.99), and superior regarding longevity (HR=0.48, 95% CI 0.28--0.84). Bone metastasis, poor performance status, PSA response, time to PSA nadir, and disease duration were independent predictors of outcomes. A post-hoc analysis revealed a strong association between dose and physician-prescribing profiles, ranging from "endorse-lowest-dose" to "never-deviate-from-full-dose". Conclusions: Lower doses of enzalutamide were non-inferior to full-dose. Dose-adapted strategies warrant further investigation.
Hasan, A.; Demidova, E. V.; Priyadarshini, P.; Czyzewicz, P.; Gathuka, L.; Murayama, T.; Zhou, Y.; Kiss, Z. A.; Shastry, R. K.; Andrake, M.; Hearne, G.; Devarajan, K.; Wu, C.; Shah, A.; Schultz, B. M.; Connolly, D. C.; Rosen, G. L.; Canadas, I.; Liu, J. C.; Burtness, B. A.; Smith, J. J.; Dunbrack, R. L.; Golemis, E. A.; Whetstine, J. R.; Meyer, J. E.; Arora, S.
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Chemoradiotherapy (CRT) is the standard-of-care therapy for many solid malignancies, yet predictive biomarkers of treatment response remain limited. We identified a germline single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) in an intrinsically disordered region of the lysine demethylase KDM3C/JMJD1C (p.S464T) that is associated with CRT outcomes in locally advanced rectal cancers (LARC) and head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (LA-HNSCC). In silico modeling with AlphaFold predicted S464T substitution influenced interaction between phosphorylated KDM3C and RNF8 FHA domain. In cellular models, conversion of S464 to T464 increased sensitivity to DNA-damaging agents. S464T substitution impaired damage-induced MDC1-RAP80 signaling and downstream RAP80-BRCA1 colocalization. SNP carrying cells impaired DNA repair causing genotoxic stress that is associated with increased cGAS-cGAMP innate immune signaling and increased apoptosis. Population analyses with the SNP highlighted an increase incidence of UV-induced skin and other cancers, linking inherited variation in the chromatin regulatory gene KDM3C to genome instability, cancer risk, and therapeutic vulnerability.
Chowdhury, D.; Chatterjee, S.; Chakraborty, S.; Mahata, A.; Vashistha, B.
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Purpose/Objective There is paucity of data reporting outcomes of breast cancers with initial internal mammary nodal involvement and no visceral metastases, treated with curative hypofractionated radiotherapy . We report the outcomes from a tertiary centre alongside spatial patterns of recurrences in the above group Material/Methods For this retrospective cross-sectional study, consecutive patients contoured as per the ESTRO 2013 guidelines, treated between 2016-2022 were eligible if their diagnostic imaging demonstrated involvement of the internal mammary nodes. Radiotherapy (40 Gy/15#/3 weeks) was delivered to the residual breast / thoracic wall, SCF region corresponding to the ESTRO lymph node level 4 and internal mammary chain nodes. Residual IMN/ level 4 nodes received a boost of 10Gy/5#. Spatial mapping of sites of recurrence at the local site and three nodal sites (axilla, SCF and IMN) was performed using deformable image registration. Sites of recurrence at the local site and three nodal levels were contoured separately. Volumetric intersection of the recurrent gross tumour volume (GTV_recurrence) with treated clinical target volume (CTV) was calculated. Actuarial overall (OS), disease free survival (DFS) & cumulative incidence of local (LR), regional (RR) and loco-regional recurrence(LRR) were calculated using Kaplan Meier method. Univariate comparison of outcomes with or without residual disease was performed using the log rank test. Results The median age of the 61 eligible women was 49 years. 77% received neoadjuvant chemotherapy and the rest adjuvant chemotherapy. 82% patients had a mastectomy. Axillary lymph node dissection was done in 96.7%. Boosts to residual IMN and SCF nodes were delivered to 21(34.4%) and 2 (3.3%) respectively. Median follow up was 3.6 years. Out of the 61 patients, 42 patients were disease free with an estimated 3 year disease free survival of 75% (95% CI 64, 88%). Spatial mapping of locoregional recurrence was possible in all but 1 patient with local (only) recurrence who was lost to follow-up after mammogram only. Among the patients with loco regional recurrence 1 had recurrence in local site + SCF +axilla, 3 had recurrence in the SCF+axilla, 2 in the SCF+IMN and 1 in the axilla+SCF+IMN. Only one patient had isolated axillary recurrence or isolated SCF recurrence. There were no IMN only recurrences. Among the 8 patients with nodal recurrence, a total of 27 individual GTV_recurrence were identified in the axilla(n=11), SCF(n=11) and IMN (n=5). IMN recurrences showed complete or partial overlap with CTV. SCF recurrences were a mix with predominantly in-field recurrences while axillary recurrences occurred outside the treated volume.Four (6.6%) patients had Grade 2 lymphoedema as documented late side effect. Conclusion Aggressive treatment of IMN disease with adjuvant radiation is effective with good locoregional control. Systemic recurrences are common and may benefit from intensification strategies.
Frade, S.; Tunyiswa, Z.; Shin, M.; Dirks, R.
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Background: Pressure ulcers often develop complex three-dimensional morphologies that extend beyond the visible wound surface. Subsurface extensions such as tunneling and undermining create hidden cavities that complicate clinical assessment and wound management. Despite their clinical relevance, the prevalence and spatial characteristics of these subsurface wound morphologies have not been well characterized at scale. Methods: We performed a registry-based analysis using data from the LIFT-OFF Pressure Ulcer Registry, which captures longitudinal clinical documentation of pressure ulcers treated in routine care. The registry included approximately 18,000 patients with 32,000 documented pressure ulcers. Spatial characteristics of tunneling and undermining were analyzed using measurements recorded during routine wound assessments, including tract length, direction, and circumferential extent. Directional and circumferential distributions of subsurface defects were examined to characterize wound geometry. Results: Tunneling was present in 764 of 14,700 full-thickness pressure ulcers (5.2%), whereas undermining occurred in 2,293 wounds (15.6%). Tunneling tracts were typically short and exhibited directional clustering relative to the wound bed. In contrast, undermining demonstrated broader circumferential distributions and frequently involved larger subsurface separations beneath the wound margin. Both morphologies demonstrated distinct spatial patterns across anatomical locations and wound stages. Conclusion: Tunneling and undermining are common subsurface features of pressure ulcers and exhibit distinct spatial geometries. Whereas tunneling manifests as directional tract-like extensions, undermining more frequently produces circumferential tissue separation beneath wound margins. Improved characterization of subsurface wound architecture may enhance assessment of wound complexity and provide information not captured by surface measurements alone. Future studies should evaluate whether these features contribute to wound severity assessment, prognosis, and risk stratification.
Wang, B.; Mukherjee, S.; Baj, A.; Trostel, S. Y.; Lis, R. T.; Whitlock, N. C.; Ku, A. T.; Heyward, K. E.; Kartal, S.; Wang, K.; Voznesensky, O. S.; Calagua, C.; Siddiqui, J.; Martin, R. S.; Kollath, L. A.; Custer, J.; Michael, P. D.; Kunju, L. P.; Lake, R.; Harris, C. C.; Aldape, K. D.; True, L. D.; Tatsuoka, C.; Fertig, E. J.; Chinnaiyan, A.; Gurram, S.; Pinto, P. A.; Weiner, A. B.; Morrissey, C.; Salami, S. S.; Einstein, D. J.; Balk, S. P.; Sowalsky, A. G.; Ruppin, E.
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Background: Biochemical recurrence (BCR) occurs in 20-40% of men after radical prostatectomy. Existing postoperative recurrence risk tools based on PSA and pathology are clinically useful but show only moderate and variable discrimination, highlighting the need for biomarkers that improve risk stratification and consequent treatment decisions. We hypothesized that the prostate microenvironment, including both the tumor and non-cancerous adjacent tissue, may contain prognostic features associated with adverse postoperative PSA outcomes. Methods: We assembled a cohort of matched tumor-adjacent benign and tumor prostate tissue from 243 men across three institutions to establish a discovery cohort (n=123; 43 postoperative PSA events, 35%) and validation cohort (n=120; 46 events, 38%). For primary binary analyses, a postoperative PSA event included BCR, defined as two consecutive postoperative PSA values >=0.2 ng/mL, or PSA persistence. We performed RNA sequencing of matched tumor-adjacent benign and tumor tissues, quantified immune signatures, and developed an integrated model combining the adjacent-tissue B-cell signature, preoperative PSA, and radical prostatectomy Gleason score (BRIGADE). CAPRA-S-adjusted Cox analyses excluding recurrence-time-0 cases evaluated time to BCR, and CD19 multiplex immunofluorescence provided tissue-level confirmation (n=10). Results: In prostatectomy specimens, tumors from patients without a postoperative PSA event were enriched for B-cell transcriptional programs, whereas tumors from event-positive patients showed elevated proliferation signatures. B-cell-related transcriptional programs were correlated between tumor and adjacent tissue. Tumor-adjacent benign B-cell scores were higher in no-event cases and discriminated postoperative PSA-event status in PCBN discovery (AUC 0.63) and BM validation (AUC 0.81) cohorts, outperforming numerous other immune-related signatures. In CAPRA-S-adjusted Cox sensitivity analyses excluding recurrence-time-0 cases, higher adjacent-tissue B-cell activity was associated with reduced recurrence risk in PCBN (HR 0.42, 95% CI 0.19-0.94; BH-adjusted p=0.035) and BM (HR 0.54, 95% CI 0.30-0.95; BH-adjusted p=0.034). Tissue-based validation showed that CD19+ B-cell density in adjacent benign tissue was higher in no-event than event-positive patients (median 0.1145 vs 0.0471; p=0.008). BRIGADE achieved an AUC of 0.68 in cross-validation and 0.83 in independent validation, compared to AUCs of 0.54-0.63 and 0.44-0.78 for the tested clinical predictors, respectively. At the fixed classification threshold, the validation-cohort odds ratio for BRIGADE was 2.75. The adjacent B-cell score remained associated with lower odds of a postoperative PSA event after adjustment for PSA and Gleason score. Conclusions: B-cell infiltration in tumor-adjacent benign prostate tissue may complement existing clinicopathologic models for stratifying adverse postoperative PSA outcomes and subsequent BCR after radical prostatectomy. The transcriptomic signal was recapitulated by CD19-based tissue staining, supporting further development of a pathology-based assay.
Sah, B. K.; Li, C.; Li, J.; Zhu, Z.
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Background Conversion surgery for stage IV gastric cancer is supported by a pooled overall survival hazard ratio of 0.36 (95% confidence interval 0.32-0.40) and, in the largest international cohort, median survival of 36.7 versus 12.5-13.8 months on chemotherapy. Survival is measured from diagnosis; the median diagnosis-to-gastrectomy interval is 124 days, which patients must survive to be counted surgical. Methods We simulated cohorts of 3,177 stage IV gastric cancer patients from published parameters: background median survival 14.5 months; median diagnosis-to-surgery interval 124 days (category-specific 92-174 days). Surgery had no effect (true hazard ratio 1.00 by construction). Data were analysed as the literature analyses them (exposure fixed at baseline, follow-up from diagnosis), and by time-varying Cox and landmark analysis. Confounding by indication was added in a second scenario. Results Under immortal time bias alone the naive analysis returned a hazard ratio of 0.794 (95% simulation interval 0.743-0.851), median survival 16.8 versus 12.8 months. Time-varying Cox recovered 1.000 and landmark analysis 1.000-1.004. Bias scaled with the interval: 0.849 at 92 days, 0.715 at 174 days. Adding confounding, the naive estimate fell to 0.601 (0.560-0.644) at strength 0.5 and 0.356 (0.323-0.385) at strength 1.5, overlapping the published estimate; median survival 21.9 versus 8.7 months. Correcting immortal time alone left residual bias (hazard ratio 0.439). Conclusions The reported survival advantage of conversion surgery is reproducible where the operation does nothing; published estimates cannot distinguish benefit from bias. Resolving this requires individual patient data analysed with methods that assign person-time correctly, or completion of JCOG2301.
Mukherjee, E. M.; Asiaee, A.; Park, D.; Krantz, M. S.; Stone, C. A.; Martin-Pozo, M.; Phillips, E. J.
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Importance: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) produce diverse immune toxicities, but whether checkpoint blockade also modifies associations between other drugs and adverse events is poorly understood. Objective: To define ICI-associated toxicity organization and determine whether drug-associated adverse events and onset vary with ICI exposure and checkpoint pathway. Design and Setting: Cross-sectional analysis of deduplicated FAERS reports from 2016 through 2025; analyses performed in 2026. Participants: Among 13,701,106 deduplicated reports, 2,365,269 were cancer associated and 256,940 contained an ICI. Median age among cancer reports with observed age was 66 years (IQR, 56-75 years); 1,031,999 (43.6%) were female and 1,003,154 (42.4%) were male. Exposures: ICI exposure in any reported drug role, individual primary-suspect drugs, and checkpoint-pathway exposure. Main Outcomes and Measures: Reporting odds ratios (ORs), cross-organ adverse-event communities, adjusted primary-suspect drug x ICI interaction ORs for Stevens-Johnson syndrome/toxic epidermal necrolysis (SJS/TEN), drug reaction with eosinophilia and systemic symptoms (DRESS), acute generalized exanthematous pustulosis (AGEP), interstitial nephritis, drug-induced liver injury (DILI), and vomiting (VOM), and accelerated failure-time model time ratios for documented onset. Results: Of 3001 eligible Preferred Terms in cancer-associated reports, 2091 differed at a false discovery rate (FDR) less than .05. Four cross-organ toxicity communities were identified. Of 138 eligible drug-phenotype pairs, 65 had FDR-significant interactions, including moxifloxacin-SJS/TEN amplification (interaction OR, 101.72; 95% CI, 39.11-264.55), enfortumab vedotin-SJS/TEN attenuation (interaction OR, 0.17; 95% CI, 0.13-0.23), and omeprazole-interstitial nephritis amplification (interaction OR, 10.35; 95% CI, 7.62-14.05). Among 60,324 reports contributing to temporal analyses, ICI exposure was associated with longer adjusted documented time to onset for 5 of 6 phenotypes (time ratios, 1.37-1.59) but not AGEP (time ratio, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.67-1.46). Temporal associations also differed across checkpoint pathways. Conclusions and Relevance: ICIs were associated with a structured cross-organ toxicity landscape, phenotype-specific modification of drug-associated adverse events, and distinct temporal patterns across checkpoint pathways. These findings support checkpoint blockade as a modifier of drug-associated toxicity and motivate longitudinal and mechanistic validation.
Zhao, L.; Zeng, Y.; Abelman, D. D.; Lin, W.; Luo, P.
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Motivation: Cell-free DNA methylation provides a minimally invasive signal for early cancer detection and tissue-of-origin prediction. Most methods represent methylation measurements as independent fixed-window features and therefore do not explicitly model relationships among genomic regions. Results: We developed PANGEM (Pan-cancer Graph-based Cancer Detection Using the Cell-free DNA Methylome), a graph-learning framework that represents genomic bins as nodes and integrates CpG context, genomic proximity, and sample-specific methylation similarity in the graph topology. Across five repeated stratified train-test splits, PANGEM achieved the highest mean performance among evaluated methods, with an AUROC/AUPR of 0.997/1.000 for binary cancer detection and macro-AUROC/AUPR of 0.977/0.870 for multiclass tissue-of-origin prediction. In the independent INSPIRE cohort, 72 of 78 cancer cases (92.3%) exceeded the binary classification threshold, and PANGEM correctly classified 9 of 17 head and neck cancer cases (52.9%), the highest accuracy among evaluated methods. Subnetwork analysis further identified recurrent, graph-connected methylation patterns, including a 111-DMR subnetwork with increased methylation in cancer samples.
Camacho, L.; Cacho-Navas, C.; Agüero, J.; Batmunkh, B.; Gracia, J. M.; O Sullivan, K.; Rementeria, M.; Miles, J.; Gumuzio, J.; Aguirre, F.; Martin Algarra, S.; de Andrea, C. E.; Parker, P. J.; Calleja, V.
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Immune checkpoint inhibitors targeting the PD-1/PD-L1 axis have shown great promise in treating bladder cancer and are now part of the standard treatment for advanced disease. However, many patients still fail to respond to treatment and at present many biomarkers are assessed but have yet shown only limited results. Therefore, with the advent of combination treatments and the increase of immune related adverse event, the search for reliable predictive biomarkers is paramount. Using a multiplexed enhanced FRET-FLIM based technique (QF-Pro) we quantified the interaction of PD-1/PD-L1, CTLA-4/CD80 and TIGIT/CD155 immune checkpoints in a pre-treatment TMA of 46 patients treated with atezolizumab. The association between higher PD-1/PD-L1 ICP interaction state and treatment efficacy was demonstrated in the male sample cohort, where it identified patients with better PFS. Conversely, patients exhibiting higher CTLA-4/CD80 engagement had a worse response to atezolizumab. Remarkably, the dual assessment of patients with high PD-1/PD-L1 and low CTLA-4/CD80 allowed to identify the best responders. These results indicate that the monitoring of patients immune profile in urothelial carcinoma might be critical in identifying patients who may benefit from combination therapy.
Qian, Z.; Khera, A.; Makhnoon, S.; Chapman, B. E.; Bryant, B.; Sayers, M.; Compton, F.; Eason, S.; Xing, C.; Ahmad, Z.
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Background. Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome affects nearly 90% of US adults, yet most individuals at early, modifiable stages remain unidentified outside clinical care. Blood donation centers offer a scalable, non-clinical venue for CKM screening, but the potential benefit of screening in this context remains unclear. We projected the population-level impact of effective digital return of results (ROR) to inform the design of a pragmatic trial. Methods. We developed a Monte Carlo simulation (100,000 iterations) of the incident major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), end-stage renal disease (ESRD), and type 2 diabetes (T2DM) preventable by ROR-prompted, guideline-concordant follow-up among donors in CKM Stages 1-2. The estimand counts only events averted by donors who act because of ROR; the intervention effect was modeled directly on strictly positive support, and action was translated into prevented events through a hazard-based cumulative-incidence difference that counts each donor at most once. We evaluated 18 design cells (donor volumes 300,000, 1 million, and 8 million/year; 5- and 10-year horizons; action-rate gains of +10, +20, and +30 percentage points [pp]) and, in a complementary two-arm simulation, the assurance (expected power) of detecting the effect in a single deployment. Results. Under the primary +20 pp scenario, ROR at a single large blood center (300,000 donors/year) is projected to prevent a median of 2,201 events (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 1,099-4,364) over 10 years, scaling to 58,526 (29,154-116,769) at the national donor pool. All 18 design cells had strictly positive 95% lower bounds. The number needed to screen was 136 and the screening cost $2,045 per event prevented (at $15/donor), both invariant to donor volume. Impact scaled linearly with volume and effect size but sub-linearly with the horizon. Detection of the effect was effectively certain at gains of +20 pp or larger (assurance [≥]99.6% in every cell and >99.9% in all but the smallest 5-year cell). Conclusions. Even under the conservative scenario, digital CKM ROR at blood donation centers is projected to prevent hundreds to tens of thousands of incident cardiometabolic events at a screening cost per event well within accepted prevention benchmarks, providing prospective, quantitative justification for a pragmatic, randomized evaluation of digital ROR in non-clinical screening settings.
Yang, Y.; Vasudevaraja, V.; Serrano, J.; Mohamed, H.; Kelly, S.; Jour, G.; Gindin, T.; Park, K.; Jones, D.; Feng, X.; Pinnell, J.; Mclennan, S.; Tin, M. Y.; Tsirigos, A.; Snuderl, M.; Wrzeszczynski, K. O.
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Next-generation sequencing (NGS) for the detection of somatic variants has become the method of choice in a variety of molecular oncology fields and in the clinic. Its use ranges from sequencing entire tumor genomes and transcriptomes to targeted clinical diagnostic gene panels. The NYU Langone Genome PACT (Profiling of Actionable Cancer Targets, LG-PACT) assay is a qualitative in vitro diagnostic test that uses targeted next generation sequencing (NGS) of formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) tumor tissue matched with normal specimens from patients to detect gene alterations in a targeted panel covering 606 genes and the TERT promoter. Indications for testing are cancer (solid tumors and hematological malignancies) where a mutational profile from multiple genes would be informative for disease stratification, prognosis, or treatment options including targeted therapies and eligibility for clinical trials. The test is intended to provide information on somatic mutations including point mutations, small insertions/deletions (indels), and copy number aberrations for diagnostic and treatment decisions. LG-PACT is a United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) cleared diagnostic test (510K: K202304). The clinical interpretation of sequencing data of molecular tumor markers from NGS encompasses automated variant calling tools with human interpretation. This final mostly manual review of data step is intensive, involving highly trained scientists, encompassing literature review, interpretation and clinical tier classification by pathologists, who then provide a complete molecular diagnostic report to the treating oncologists. We provide analysis of 1339 clinical genomic profiles from 31 different cancers and their subtypes, comprising of central nervous system (CNS) 792 (59%) cases (incl. meningioma, glioma and glioblastoma), with 267 (20%) cases predominantly of lung, pancreatic and colorectal and 280 of others (21%). Here, we present the technical challenges of validating an NGS oncological diagnostic targeted assay for clinical grade accuracy and sensitivity for patient care. We show how copy number alterations provide a more comprehensive description of the tumors genomic profile. We then outline the utility of targeted panel sequencing based on certified pathologist selection of reportable variants for our current patient cohort. Where analysis of variant detection has led to 49.4% (661/1339) of our clinical tumor samples containing mutations in known therapy targeted genes, 35.6% (477/1339) with mutation detected in other genes, and 15% (201/1339) cases being negative.
Xiang, S.; He, H.; Xie, Z.; Cheng, C.-Y.; Li, H.; Liu, D.
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Agentic workflows can coordinate modelling, but balancing predictive performance, measurement burden and reproducibility is unclear. We developed DXA Agent, an agentic workflow for dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) outcomes integrating planning, feature-model refinement, tools, provenance and hypothesis-generating interpretation. Models were independently developed and tested in UK Biobank (5,318 participants) and the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES; 3,777 participants), using cost-efficient and no-limit strategies. Across 20 UK Biobank and three NHANES bone mineral density sites, cost-efficient models achieved lower RMSE and higher R2 than the best conventional comparator, with median relative RMSE reductions of 10.9% and 9.9%, respectively. Classification was task dependent: UK Biobank osteoporosis averaged AUROC 0.839 and PR-AUC 0.182, whereas NHANES performance was comparable with conventional models. Higher-burden features did not consistently improve prediction. These retrospective, cohort-internal findings position DXA Agent as an inspectable, measurement-burden-aware research workflow requiring independent prospective validation.
Nornoo, A. O.; Maarsingh, H.
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Introduction: There is an unmet need for effective topical anti-pruritic medications for acute itch, as there are only a few over-the-counter products that have a direct effect on itch. Tripelennamine is a first-generation antihistamine that would be useful in treating histamine-induced pruritus, however, supportive robust clinical data is lacking. Objectives: The efficacy of tripelennamine (TPA) compared to diphenhydramine (DPH) and a vehicle control cream base on histamine-induced pruritus was evaluated as the primary endpoint. Histamine-induced urticaria served as the secondary endpoint. Methods: Thirty-six healthy participants completed this single-center, double-blinded, placebo-controlled crossover clinical study. Following pretreatment with TPA1%, DPH 1% or vehicle control creams, histamine challenge occurred via iontophoresis and a visual analog scale (VAS) for pruritus was used to determine extent of itch (AUC-VAS), peak itch, and duration of itch. Results: Compared to the vehicle control, TPA reduced histamine-induced extent of itch (AUC-VAS), peak itch, and itch duration by 59%, 38% and 43%, respectively (p<0.01 all). DPH did not significantly affect these responses and TPA was superior in reducing extent of itch (48% reduction, p<0.05) and duration (38% shorter, p<0.05). TPA, but not DPH, also reduced histamine induced flare and wheal responses (secondary endpoints) by 53% and 27%, respectively. The reduction in flare responses by TPA was superior to that of DPH (45% reduction, p<0.05). Conclusion: TPA significantly attenuated histamine-induced pruritus and urticaria in a human histamine-challenge model and demonstrated greater efficacy than DPH. These findings provide strong evidence of the antipruritic activity of topical TPA and support further clinical investigation of TPA as a treatment for histaminergic itch and related dermatologic conditions.
Green, J. L.; Davies, H.; Russell, D. A.
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Background: The relative merits of infrainguinal bypass and primary major lower limb amputation (MLLA) for chronic limb-threatening ischaemia (CLTI) remain uncertain, and the baseline profiles of patients selected for each strategy are poorly described. Methods: A systematic review and meta-analysis were undertaken in accordance with PRISMA 2020 and prospectively registered (PROSPERO: CRD42022356094). MEDLINE, Embase, CENTRAL, and CINAHL were searched from inception to March 2025. Prospective studies of adults with CLTI undergoing primary infrainguinal bypass or primary MLLA were eligible. Mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and subsequent amputation outcomes were synthesised using random-effects meta-analysis of proportions. Baseline comorbidity profiles were also extracted. Results: Twenty-seven studies involving 6,576 patients were included: 5,779 underwent infrainguinal bypass and 797 underwent MLLA. After bypass, pooled mortality was 3.7% at 30 days (95% CI 2.8%-4.9%, I2 = 49.4%), 18.5% at 1 year (95% CI 15.6%-21.9%, I2 = 62.3%), and 54.3% at 5 years (95% CI 50.5%-58.0%, I2 = 0%). After MLLA, pooled mortality was 9.2% at 30 days (95% CI 4.1%-19.3%, I2 = 73.5%), 28.5% at 1 year (95% CI 13.3%-51.0, I2 = 70.8%), and 39.9% at 2 years (95% CI 0.3%-99.3, I2 = 90.5%), although longer-term estimates were limited by sparse data and marked heterogeneity. Thirty-day MACE was 6.5% (95% CI 4.3%-9.7, I2 = 63.5%) after bypass and 2.8% after MLLA (95% CI 0.1%-37.6%, I2 = 0%). Early subsequent major amputation after bypass occurred in 3.9% of patients (95% CI 2.0%-7.7%, I2 = 91.2%), rising to 16.2% at 1 year (95% CI 12.6%-20.5%, I2 = 82.0%) and 33.3% at 3 years (95% CI 20.1%-49.8%, I2 = 0%). Early re-amputation after MLLA occurred in 10.9% of patients (95% CI 4.5%-24.4%, I2 = 40.3%). Baseline comorbidity burden was high in both groups, with substantial heterogeneity across studies. Conclusions: CLTI carries a poor prognosis regardless of treatment strategy. Infrainguinal bypass is associated with lower early mortality and better early limb preservation than primary MLLA, but long-term survival remains poor and later limb failure is common. Primary MLLA is not a low-risk alternative. Better contemporary comparative evidence utilising modern causal inference approaches is needed to support individualised decision-making.